Wow. This is a barrage of questions, but basically it all boils down to the fact that you want a roadmap into this chick's head.
Plain and simple, nobody here can give you that roadmap. What I can tell is a way to not let you get yourself hurt.
#1. Take things slow EMOTIONALLY. Realize that this broad isn't the girl you are going to marry tomorrow. She isn't your girlfriend, and you aren't "together". Yet. You need to take things very slow with your emotions. You have been through a lot of shit, so don't set yourself up for a fall. Just realize that she isn't your girlfriend, and there are plenty of other women out there. Don't "fall" for this chick so fast.
I have a feeling that this might be one of your main issues in the past - Falling too fast, and then crashing at the end. Take a deep breath and tell yourself "I'm gonna do things MY way this time around" and let things happen as they happen.
The more and faster you want to "be" with her, the faster and easier it is for you to get hurt in the end.
#2. Tell her you really don't give a flying **** about her ex, and ask her not to talk to you about it. Ever. (And then mean it.) Nothing sucks more ass than listening to some broad whine about their ex. To you, he doesn't exist. And make sure she understands this, and abides by it.
Should I continue showing affection here and there...or should I completely stop complimenting her to keep our conversations basic?
Consider this "Relationship-Lite" and do like she asks. Dude, slow down. You don't have to fall in love with this chick tonight. There is no reason to.
5. On the other hand, Valentine's Day is coming up. Should I get a card and *maybe* some candy?
No. Why should you? You aren't "together", and she said that. If you do this, she will know that she has you in the palm of her hand and can twist you left or right. Don't even talk about Hallmark/Valentines Day. There is no reason to.
7. Since we have met two times and she continues to call, she must think I'm okay looking. Wouldn't most girls start creating excuses if a guy was ugly or put off weird vibes?
Stop worrying so much about how you look, and more about how you are. Girls can smell a non-confident guy. And you are Mr. Confident about life and about yourself. Tell yourself that 15 times a day. Eventually it will be true.
3. The second time I met with her (on Sunday), I told her that I really liked her and I would be open to a relationship. I also said that I am willing to take it slow. I wanted her to know that I have more than just friendship feelings.
She didn't object to this, but she didn't accept it either. She says that I shouldn't get strong feelings for her right now because she doesn't want to hurt me. Her excuse was that her "ex"-boyfriend treated her badly and she's hesistant about getting into another relationship. She admits that I am different and very respectful.
Is she basically letting me down easy?
Dude, you have met her in person TWICE. What the hell do you mean "a relationship?" You don't know this girl! Slow the **** down junior! This is why you are working towards #15. You are jumping in too godamn fast. You are 21 years old. Unless you get hit by a falling piano tomorrow, you have years and years ahead of you. Whats the big ****in hurry to marry this chick?
I swear...this girl claims that she's being honest with me. She seems sincere and very down to earth. But if it turns out that she's been playing me all along, then I'm gonna give up.
#3. Just take her word for it. As of yet you really don't have anything substantial. She isn't your girlfriend, so what are you going to do? Accuse her of cheating on you? On a scale of 1-10, this relationship is currently at 1.2 and still has a longass way to go.
Chill out. One day at a time.
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